Analysis and study of the impact of United States economic sanctions on business cycles in the economy of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Articles in Press

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Faculty member of the Department of Economics and Accounting, faculty of Management, Economics and Accounting,University Of Hormozgan, Bandar Abbas, Iran

10.22034/ecoj.2025.66230.3414

Abstract

Abstract: Today, Iran is facing the issue of economic sanctions. These sanctions have been imposed on the Islamic Republic of Iran by various institutions and countries around the world since 1979. Economic sanctions have affected large parts of the Iranian economy and have created new conditions in the economic body of the Islamic Republic of Iran. One of the places of effect of sanctions on the flow of trade cycles of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The purpose of this article is to investigate the impact of economic sanctions on the flow of business cycles in Iran. In order to quantify the effect of economic sanctions, the economic sanctions index was calculated. In order to obtain this index, 20 activists and experts in the field of sanctions economics were referred to; their opinions were collected using fuzzy questionnaires. Then, using fuzzy logic in MATLAB software space, the economic sanctions index for the period 1979-2022 was calculated. Then, using the Sanctions Index, the impact of economic sanctions on the flow of business cycles was examined using the self-regression method in the period 1979-2022 and in the eviews software space. The results show that the economic sanctions imposed on the Islamic Republic of Iran have led to a deepening economic recession and prolonged periods of recession in the Iranian economy.

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Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 16 September 2025

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