The Impact of Inflationary Environment on Exchange Rate Pass- Through to the Import Price Index in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Associate Professor in Economics, University of Tabriz

2 Professor in Economics, University of Tabriz

3 Ph.D. Student in Economics, University of Tabriz

Abstract

Exchange rate as one of the key variables of the economy plays an important role in determining the import price index. Therefore, knowledge of the empirical relationship between exchange rate and import price index, which is known in economic literature as Exchange Rate Pass-Through is important and can help economic officials on how choose their economic policies. Empirical studies conducted during the past decade show that the Exchange Rate Pass-Through on the import price index is affected by many factors such as inflation. According to the fact that during the last three decades, Iran's economy has experienced relatively high and persistent rate of inflation, in this study by using time series data over the period of 1971- 2012, examined the role of inflation in exchange rate pass-through to the import price index.Results indicate an incomplete pass-through of exchange rates to the import price index. The results also indicate that the exchange rate pass- through to import price index increases in high and intermediate levels of inflation, however, the pass-through in the high inflation level is lower than intermediate inflation.

Keywords


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